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The Past as a Stochastic Process

David H. Wolpert, Michael H. Price, Stefani A. Crabtree, Timothy A. Kohler, Jurgen Jost, James Evans, Peter F. Stadler, Hajime Shimao, Manfred D. Laubichler

arXiv 11 Dec 2021 · Statistics — Applications · publishedJournal of Computer Applications in Archaeology (2024)

arXiv:2112.05876 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Historical processes manifest remarkable diversity. Nevertheless, scholars have long attempted to identify patterns and categorize historical actors and influences with some success. A stochastic process framework provides a structured approach for the analysis of large historical datasets that allows for detection of sometimes surprising patterns, identification of relevant causal actors both endogenous and exogenous to the process, and comparison between different historical cases. The combination of data, analytical tools and the organizing theoretical framework of stochastic processes complements traditional narrative approaches in history and archaeology.

Citation extraction

77
references
105
in-text mentions
77
distinct cited
7
self-citations
10,335
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 68% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1author author Peter\ Turchin, author Thomas E.\ Currie, author Harve… (2018) a) NoStop1.00053100%
2author author Harvey\ Whitehouse, author Pieter\ Francois, author Pa… (2019) ) NoStop0.8947371%
3author author Jaeweon\ Shin, author Michael\ Holton Price, author Da… (2020) ) NoStop self0.8226283%
4author author Tim\ Sauer, author James A\ Yorke, \ and\ author Marti… (1991) ) NoStop0.73732100%
5author author Floris\ Takens,\ title title Detecting strange attract… (1980) \ ( publisher Springer,\ year 1981)\ pp.\ pages 366–381 NoStop0.73732100%
6author author Helmut\ Lütkepohl,\ @noop title New Introduction to Mu… (2005) ) NoStop0.64422100%
7author author Hal\ Caswell,\ @noop title Matrix Population Models: C… (2001) ) NoStop0.5113233%
8author author Peter\ Turchin, author Rob\ Brennan, author Thomas E.\… (2015) ) NoStop0.5112250%
9author author Nishant\ Malik,\ title title Uncovering transitions in… (2020) ) NoStop0.5112250%
10author author Andrei\ Rogers,\ title title The Multiregional Matrix… (1966) ) NoStop0.5112250%

Showing the top 10 of 77 scored citations.