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Covariate Balancing Sensitivity Analysis for Extrapolating Randomized Trials across Locations

Xinkun Nie, Guido Imbens, Stefan Wager

arXiv 9 Dec 2021 · Econometrics · 6 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2112.04723 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The ability to generalize experimental results from randomized control trials (RCTs) across locations is crucial for informing policy decisions in targeted regions. Such generalization is often hindered by the lack of identifiability due to unmeasured effect modifiers that compromise direct transport of treatment effect estimates from one location to another. We build upon sensitivity analysis in observational studies and propose an optimization procedure that allows us to get bounds on the treatment effects in targeted regions. Furthermore, we construct more informative bounds by balancing on the moments of covariates. In simulation experiments, we show that the covariate balancing approach is promising in getting sharper identification intervals.

Citation extraction

59
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Qingyuan Zhao, Dylan S Small, and Bhaswar B Bhattacharya (2019) Sensitivity analysis for inverse probability weighting estimators via the percentile bootstrap1.00053100%
2Peter M Aronow and Donald KK Lee (2012) Interval estimation of population means under unknown but bounded probabilities of sample selection0.73732100%
3V Joseph Hotz, Guido W Imbens, and Julie H Mortimer (2005) Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations self0.73732100%
4Kosuke Imai and Marc Ratkovic (2014) Covariate balancing propensity score0.73732100%
5Luke W Miratrix, Stefan Wager, and Jose R Zubizarreta (2017) Shape-constrained partial identification of a population mean under unknown probabilities of sample selection self0.73732100%
6Paul R Rosenbaum (2002) Observational studies, volume 100.73732100%
7Masashi Sugiyama, Taiji Suzuki, and Takafumi Kanamori (2012) Density ratio estimation in machine learning0.73732100%
8Steve Yadlowsky, Hongseok Namkoong, Sanjay Basu, John Duchi, and Lu… (2018) Bounds on the conditional and average treatment effect in the presence of unobserved confounders0.73732100%
9Guido W Imbens (2003) Sensitivity to exogeneity assumptions in program evaluation self0.64422100%
10Qingyuan Zhao (2019) Covariate balancing propensity score by tailored loss functions0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 59 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Transfer Estimates for Causal Effects across Heterogeneous Sites0.87452
2Data Fusion for Partial Identification of Causal Effects0.64422
3Doubly-Valid/Doubly-Sharp Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Inference with Unmeasured Confounding0.40511
4a framework for generalization and transportation of causal estimates under covariate shift0.40511
5Policy Learning under Biased Sample Selection0.40511