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Choice modelling in the age of machine learning -- discussion paper

S. Van Cranenburgh, S. Wang, A. Vij, F. Pereira, J. Walker

arXiv 28 Jan 2021 · Econometrics · publishedJournal of Choice Modelling (2021) · 9 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2101.11948 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex

Abstract

Since its inception, the choice modelling field has been dominated by theory-driven modelling approaches. Machine learning offers an alternative data-driven approach for modelling choice behaviour and is increasingly drawing interest in our field. Cross-pollination of machine learning models, techniques and practices could help overcome problems and limitations encountered in the current theory-driven modelling paradigm, such as subjective labour-intensive search processes for model selection, and the inability to work with text and image data. However, despite the potential benefits of using the advances of machine learning to improve choice modelling practices, the choice modelling field has been hesitant to embrace machine learning. This discussion paper aims to consolidate knowledge on the use of machine learning models, techniques and practices for choice modelling, and discuss their potential. Thereby, we hope not only to make the case that further integration of machine learning in choice modelling is beneficial, but also to further facilitate it. To this end, we clarify the similarities and differences between the two modelling paradigms; we review the use of machine learning for choice modelling; and we explore areas of opportunities for embracing machine learning models and techniques to improve our practices. To conclude this discussion paper, we put forward a set of research questions which must be addressed to better understand if and how machine learning can benefit choice modelling.

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Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1The Mixed Aggregate Preference Logit Model: A Machine Learning Approach to Modeling Unobserved Heterogeneity in Discrete Choice Analysis0.73732
2Understanding the decision-making process of choice modellers0.64422
3Embedding Foundation Model Predictions in Discrete-Choice Models with Structural Guarantees0.64422
4Combine and conquer: model averaging for out-of-distribution forecasting0.40511
5Training Neural Networks Embedded in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models0.40511
6Auditing and Fixing Economic Validity in Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice0.40511
7Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice Estimation0.40511