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Decision Conflict and Deferral in A Class of Logit Models with a Context-Dependent Outside Option

Georgios Gerasimou

arXiv 10 Aug 2020 · Theoretical Economics

arXiv:2008.04229 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Decision makers often opt for the deferral outside option when they find it difficult to make an active choice. Contrary to existing logit models with an outside option where the latter is assigned a fixed value exogenously, this paper introduces and analyzes a class of logit models where that option's value is menu-dependent, may be determined endogenously, and could be interpreted as proxying the varying dgree of decision difficulty at different menus. We focus on the *power logit* special class of these models. We show that these predict some observed choice-deferral effects that are caused by hard decisions, including non-monotonic "roller-coaster" choice-overload phenomena that are regulated by the presence or absence of a clearly dominant feasible alternative. We illustrate the usability, novel insights and explanatory gains of the proposed framework for empirical discrete choice analysis and theoretical modelling of imperfectly competitive markets in the presence of potentially indecisive consumers.

Citation extraction

58
references
88
in-text mentions
58
distinct cited
3
self-citations
16,540
main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bhatia, Sudeep, Mullett, Timothy L (2016) The Dynamics of Deferred Decision1.00063100%
2Hensher, David A., Rose, John M., Greene, William H (2015) Applied Choice Analysis1.00054100%
3McFadden, Daniel, Zarembka, P (1973) Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior0.9416383%
4Anderson, Simon P., Palma, Jacques-Francois (1992) Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation0.84333100%
5Dhar, Ravi (1997) Consumer Preference for a No-Choice Option0.81142100%
6Costa-Gomes, Miguel, Cueva, Carlos, Gerasimou, Georgios (2022) Choice, Deferral and Consistency self0.64422100%
7Knops, Anouk M., Ubbink, Dirk T., Legemate, Dink A., Stalpers, Lukas… (2013) Interpreting Patient Decisional Conflict Scores: Behavior and Emotions in Decisions about Treatment0.64422100%
8Luce, R. Duncan (1959) Individual Choice Behavior: A Theoretical Analysis0.64422100%
9Redelmeier, D. A., Shafir, E (1995) Medical Decision Making in Situations that Offer Multiple Alternatives0.64422100%
10Tversky, Amos, Shafir, Eldar (1992) Choice under Conflict: The Dynamics of Deferred Decision0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 58 scored citations.