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Asset Prices and Capital Share Risks: Theory and Evidence

Joseph P. Byrne, Boulis M. Ibrahim, Xiaoyu Zong

arXiv 24 Jun 2020 · Econometrics

arXiv:2006.14023 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

An asset pricing model using long-run capital share growth risk has recently been found to successfully explain U.S. stock returns. Our paper adopts a recursive preference utility framework to derive an heterogeneous asset pricing model with capital share risks.While modeling capital share risks, we account for the elevated consumption volatility of high income stockholders. Capital risks have strong volatility effects in our recursive asset pricing model. Empirical evidence is presented in which capital share growth is also a source of risk for stock return volatility. We uncover contrasting unconditional and conditional asset pricing evidence for capital share risks.

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47
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Lewellen, J. and Nagel, S (2006) The conditional CAPM does not explain asset-pricing anomalies1.00096100%
2Lettau, M., Ludvigson, S. C., and Ma, S (2019) Capital share risk in us asset pricing0.98051894%
3Bansal, R. and Yaron, A (2004) Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles0.96026488%
4Epstein, L. G. and Zin, S. E (1989) Substitution, risk aversion, and the temporal behavior of consumption0.9416483%
5Bianchi, D., Guidolin, M., and Ravazzolo, F (2017) Macroeconomic factors strike back: A bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the us cross-section0.90912675%
6Saez, E. and Zucman, G (2016) Wealth inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from capitalized income tax data0.81142100%
7Campbell, J. Y. and Cochrane, J. H (2000) Explaining the poor performance of consumption-based asset pricing models0.73732100%
8Boguth, O. and Kuehn, L.-A (2013) Consumption volatility risk0.64441100%
9Borovicka, J (2020) Survival and long-run dynamics with heterogeneous beliefs under recursive preferences0.64422100%
10Breeden, D. T (1979) An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 47 scored citations.