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Evaluating Policies Early in a Pandemic: Bounding Policy Effects with Nonrandomly Missing Data

Brantly Callaway, Tong Li

arXiv 19 May 2020 · Econometrics · publishedThe Review of Economics and Statistics (2023) · 5 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2005.09605 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

During the early part of the Covid-19 pandemic, national and local governments introduced a number of policies to combat the spread of Covid-19. In this paper, we propose a new approach to bound the effects of such early-pandemic policies on Covid-19 cases and other outcomes while dealing with complications arising from (i) limited availability of Covid-19 tests, (ii) differential availability of Covid-19 tests across locations, and (iii) eligibility requirements for individuals to be tested. We use our approach study the effects of Tennessee's expansion of Covid-19 testing early in the pandemic and find that the policy decreased Covid-19 cases.

Citation extraction

58
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appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 87% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Callaway, Brantly, Li, Tong (2022) Policy evaluation during a pandemic self0.92843100%
2Manski, Charles F, Molinari, Francesca (2020) Estimating the COVID-19 infection rate: Anatomy of an inference problem0.87452100%
3Allcott, Hunt, Boxell, Levi, Conway, Jacob C, Ferguson, Billy A, Gen… (2020) What explains temporal and geographic variation in the early US coronavirus pandemic?0.64422100%
4Chernozhukov, Victor, Kasahara, Hiroyuki, Schrimpf, Paul (2021) Causal impact of masks, policies, behavior on early Covid-19 pandemic in the US0.64422100%
5Farmer, Blake (2020) Tennessee’s secret to plentiful Coronavirus testing – Picking up the tab0.51121100%
6Abadie, Alberto, Spiess, Jann (2022) Robust post-matching inference0.40511100%
7Acemoglu, Daron, Chernozhukov, Victor, Werning, Iván, Whinston, Mich… (2021) Optimal targeted lockdowns in a multigroup SIR model0.40511100%
8Acemoglu, Daron, Makhdoumi, Ali, Malekian, Azarakhsh, Ozdaglar, Asuman (2020) Testing, voluntary social distancing and the spread of an infection0.40511100%
9Alemán, Christian, Busch, Christopher, Ludwig, Alexander, Santaeulàl… (2020) Evaluating the effectiveness of policies against a pandemic0.40511100%
10Allen, Linda JS (2008) An introduction to stochastic epidemic models0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 58 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Policy Evaluation during a Pandemic0.40511
2Beyond Parallel Trends: An Identification-Strategy-Robust Approach to Causal Inference with Panel Data0.40511