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Fair Prediction with Endogenous Behavior

Christopher Jung, Sampath Kannan, Changhwa Lee, Mallesh M. Pai, Aaron Roth, Rakesh Vohra

arXiv 18 Feb 2020 · Theoretical Economics · 4 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2002.07147 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of fairness, typically mutually incompatible. Using criminal justice as an example, we study a model in which society chooses an incarceration rule. Agents of different demographic groups differ in their outside options (e.g. opportunity for legal employment) and decide whether to commit crimes. We show that equalizing type I and type II errors across groups is consistent with the goal of minimizing the overall crime rate; other popular notions of fairness are not.

Citation extraction

38
references
59
in-text mentions
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distinct cited
4
self-citations
11,039
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 76% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Alexandra Chouldechova (2017) Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instruments0.92843100%
2Jon Kleinberg, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Manish Raghavan (2016) Inherent trade-offs in the fair determination of risk scores0.92843100%
3Nicola Persico (2002) Racial profiling, fairness, and effectiveness of policing0.87472100%
4Sam Corbett-Davies and Sharad Goel (2018) The measure and mismeasure of fairness: A critical review of fair machine learning0.64441100%
5Sam Corbett-Davies, Emma Pierson, Avi Feller, Sharad Goel, and Aziz… (2017) Algorithmic decision making and the cost of fairness0.64422100%
6Stephen Coate and Glenn C Loury (1993) Will affirmative-action policies eliminate negative stereotypes?0.51121100%
7Dean P Foster and Rakesh V Vohra (1992) An economic argument for affirmative action self0.51121100%
8Moritz Hardt, Eric Price, and Nati Srebro (2016) Equality of opportunity in supervised learning0.51121100%
9Michael F Ferguson and Stephen R Peters (1995) What constitutes evidence of discrimination in lending?0.51121100%
10Lydia T Liu, Max Simchowitz, and Moritz Hardt (2019) The implicit fairness criterion of unconstrained learning0.51121100%

Showing the top 10 of 38 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Quantifying fairness and discrimination in predictive models0.51121