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A multifactor regime-switching model for inter-trade durations in the limit order market

Zhicheng Li, Haipeng Xing, Xinyun Chen

arXiv 2 Dec 2019 · Econometrics

arXiv:1912.00764 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper studies inter-trade durations in the NASDAQ limit order market and finds that inter-trade durations in ultra-high frequency have two modes. One mode is to the order of approximately 10^{-4} seconds, and the other is to the order of 1 second. This phenomenon and other empirical evidence suggest that there are two regimes associated with the dynamics of inter-trade durations, and the regime switchings are driven by the changes of high-frequency traders (HFTs) between providing and taking liquidity. To find how the two modes depend on information in the limit order book (LOB), we propose a two-state multifactor regime-switching (MF-RSD) model for inter-trade durations, in which the probabilities transition matrices are time-varying and depend on some lagged LOB factors. The MF-RSD model has good in-sample fitness and the superior out-of-sample performance, compared with some benchmark duration models. Our findings of the effects of LOB factors on the inter-trade durations help to understand more about the high-frequency market microstructure.

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54
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Carrion, A (2013) Very fast money: High-frequency trading on the nasdaq1.00063100%
2Engle, R. F. and J. R. Russell (1998) Autoregressive conditional duration: a new model for irregularly spaced transaction data0.92844100%
3Chen, F., F. X. Diebold, and F. Schorfheide (2013) A markov-switching multifractal inter-trade duration model, with application to us equities0.84333100%
4Li, M., T. McCormick, and X. Zhao (2005) Order imbalance and liquidity supply: Evidence from the bubble burst of nasdaq stocks0.73732100%
5Goldstein, M. A., A. Kwan, and R. Philip (2018) High-frequency trading strategies0.73732100%
6Hasbrouck, J (1991) Measuring the information content of stock trades0.73732100%
7Van Kervel, V. and A. J. Menkveld (2019) High-frequency trading around large institutional orders0.73732100%
8Brogaard, J., T. Hendershott, and R. Riordan (2014) High-frequency trading and price discovery0.64422100%
9Cartea, Á., R. Donnelly, and S. Jaimungal (2018) Enhancing trading strategies with order book signals0.64422100%
10Cont, R., A. Kukanov, and S. Stoikov (2014) The price impact of order book events0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 54 scored citations.