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Local Asymptotic Equivalence of the Bai and Ng (2004) and Moon and Perron (2004) Frameworks for Panel Unit Root Testing

Oliver Wichert, I. Gaia Becheri, Feike C. Drost, Ramon van den Akker

arXiv 27 May 2019 · Econometrics

arXiv:1905.11184 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper considers unit-root tests in large n and large T heterogeneous panels with cross-sectional dependence generated by unobserved factors. We reconsider the two prevalent approaches in the literature, that of Moon and Perron (2004) and the PANIC setup proposed in Bai and Ng (2004). While these have been considered as completely different setups, we show that, in case of Gaussian innovations, the frameworks are asymptotically equivalent in the sense that both experiments are locally asymptotically normal (LAN) with the same central sequence. Using Le Cam's theory of statistical experiments we determine the local asymptotic power envelope and derive an optimal test jointly in both setups. We show that the popular Moon and Perron (2004) and Bai and Ng (2010) tests only attain the power envelope in case there is no heterogeneity in the long-run variance of the idiosyncratic components. The new test is asymptotically uniformly most powerful irrespective of possible heterogeneity. Moreover, it turns out that for any test, satisfying a mild regularity condition, the size and local asymptotic power are the same under both data generating processes. Thus, applied researchers do not need to decide on one of the two frameworks to conduct unit root tests. Monte-Carlo simulations corroborate our asymptotic results and document significant gains in finite-sample power if the variances of the idiosyncratic shocks differ substantially among the cross sectional units.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bai, J. and S. Ng (2004) A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration1.00093100%
2Westerlund, J (2015) The Power of PANIC1.00054100%
3Becheri, I. G., F. C. Drost, and R. Van den Akker (2014) Asymptotically UMP Panel Unit Root Teststhe Effect of Heterogeneity in the Alternatives self1.00053100%
4Bai, J. and S. Ng (2010) Panel Unit Root Tests with Cross-Section Dependence: A Further Investigation0.98118694%
5Moon, H. R. and B. Perron (2004) Testing for a Unit Root in Panels with Dynamic Factors0.93332881%
6Moon, H. R., B. Perron, and P. C. B. Phillips (2007) Incidental trends and the power of panel unit root tests0.92843100%
7Van der Vaart, A. W (2000) Asymptotic Statistics0.92843100%
8Moon, H. R., B. Perron, and P. C. B. Phillips (2014) Point-Optimal Panel Unit Root Tests with Serially Correlated Errors0.84333100%
9Newey, W. K. and K. D. West (1994) Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation0.7639267%
10Juodis, A. and J. Westerlund (2018) Optimal panel unit root testing with covariates0.73732100%

Showing the top 10 of 36 scored citations.