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Population and trends in the global mean temperature

Richard S. J. Tol

arXiv 27 Dec 2016 · General Economics · publishedAtmósfera (2017) · 22 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:1612.09123 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The Fisher Ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the sample but without conflating the trend in the population distribution and the trend in the temperature. I show that the trend in the global area-weighted average surface air temperature is different in key details from the population-weighted trend. I extend the index to include urbanization and the urban heat island effect. This substantially changes the trend again. I further extend the index to include international migration, but this has a minor impact on the trend.

Citation extraction

34
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main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix: Matlab codes” · 70% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Irving Fisher (1892) Mathematical Investigations in the Theory of Value and Prices0.64422100%
2Etienne Laspeyres (1871) Die berechnung einer mittleren warenpreissteigerung0.64422100%
3Hermann Paasche (1877) Ueber die Entwicklung der Preise und der Rente des Immobiliarbesitzes zu Halle a. S0.64422100%
4K. E. Atkins and J. M. J. Travis (2010) Local adaptation and the evolution of species' ranges under climate change0.40511100%
5Maximilian Auffhammer, Solomon M. Hsiang, Wolfram Schlenker, and Ada… (2013) Using weather data and climate model output in economic analyses of climate change0.40511100%
6C. Broda and D. E. Weinstein (2006) Globalization and the gains from variety0.40511100%
Burke2015unmatched citation key Burke20150.40511100%
8C. C. Chen, B. A. McCarl, and D. E. Schimmelpfennig (2004) Yield variability as influenced by climate: A statistical investigation0.40511100%
9M. Dell, B. F. Jones, and B. A. Olken (2012) Temperature shocks and economic growth: Evidence from the last half century0.40511100%
10Melissa Dell, Benjamin F. Jones, and Benjamin A. Olken (2014) What do we learn from the weather? the new climate-economy literature0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 34 scored citations. 1 of these could not be matched to a bibliography entry, so only the citation key is shown.