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Christopher J. Neely

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (from arXiv:2309.15705, 2023) · ORCID · OpenAlex

93 papers in scope · 92 published · 1 on the econ.EM arXiv · 4,992 citations · h-index 25 (over the papers listed here)

Papers

(1 of 93)

Paul Blustein: King Dollar: The Past and Future of the World’s Dominant Currency
published2025 · Business Economics
Mind your language: Market responses to central bank speeches
published2024 · Journal of Econometrics · 11 citations · first circulated 2023
with Maximilian Ahrens, Deniz Erdemlioglu, Michael McMahon, Xiye Yang
Why Have a Strategic Petroleum Reserve?
published2024 · Economic Synopses
working paper2023 · arXiv
Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Behavior of Shorts
published2023 · Journal of money credit and banking · 3 citations · first circulated 2017
with Thomas H. McInish, Jade Planchon
The Rise and Fall of M2
published2023 · Economic Synopses · 5 citations
The FDIC Studies “Options for Deposit Insurance Reform”
published2023 · Economic Synopses · 5 citations
Modeling Professional Recession Forecasts
published2023 · Economic Synopses
An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy
published2022 · Journal of Economic Literature · 101 citations · first circulated 2016
with Saroj Bhattarai
How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?
published2022 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 20 citations · first circulated 2014
The Russian Invasion, Oil and Gasoline Prices, and Recession
published2022 · Economic Synopses · 6 citations
A Shutoff of Russian Natural Gas
published2022 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
with Jason Dunn
Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3
published2021 · Economics Letters · first circulated 2020
with Thomas H. McInish, Jade Planchon
International Inflation Trends
published2021 · Economic Synopses
Overshooting the Inflation Target
published2021 · Economic Synopses
Can risk explain the profitability of technical trading in currency markets?
published2020 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 14 citations · first circulated 2014
with Yuliya Ivanova, Paul Weller, Matthew Famiglietti, Paul A. Weller
Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis
published2020 · Finance and Economics Discussion Series · 23 citations
with Dario Caldara, Etienne Gagnon, Enrique Martínez-García
Central Bank Responses to COVID-19
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 17 citations
with Jacob Haas
Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility Supports Main Street
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 14 citations
with Bruce Mizrach
The Stock Market's Wild Ride
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
with Bruce Mizrach
Supporting Small Borrowers: ABS Markets and the TALF
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
with Bruce Mizrach
Federal Reserve System International Facilities
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
with Bruce Mizrach
Negative U.S. Interest Rates?
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Fed Intervention in the To-Be-Announced Market for Mortgage-Backed Securities
published2020 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
with Bruce Mizrach
The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news
published2019 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 24 citations · first circulated 2017
with Kris Boudt, Piet Sercu, Marjan Wauters
Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book
published2019 · Journal of Econometrics · 22 citations · first circulated 2017
with Markus Bibinger, Lars Winkelmann
What to Expect from Quantitative Tightening
published2019 · Economic Synopses · 3 citations
The Asset Holdings of the Bank of Japan
published2019 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
The Role of Jumps in Volatility Spillovers in Foreign Exchange Markets: Meteor Shower and Heat Waves Revisited
published2018 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 27 citations · first circulated 2014
with Jérôme Lahaye
Why Are U.S. Bond Yields So High?
published2018 · Economic Synopses
Systematic cojumps, market component portfolios and scheduled macroeconomic announcements
published2017 · Journal of Empirical Finance · 7 citations
with Kam Fong Chan, Robert G. Bowman, Kam Wah Chan
The People’s Bank of China Boosts the Yuan
published2017 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves and the U.S. Economy
published2016 · Economic Synopses · 13 citations
Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?
published2015 · Journal of Banking & Finance · 18 citations · first circulated 2013
with Deniz Erdemlioglu, Sébastien Laurent
How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Inflation?
published2015 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
Financial Engineering Versus Cancer
published2015 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Common Fluctuations in OECD Budget Balances
published2015 · Review · 2 citations · first circulated 2009
with David E. Rapach
Unconventional monetary policy had large international effects
published2014 · Journal of Banking & Finance · 416 citations · first circulated 2010
Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators
published2014 · Management Science · 1030 citations · first circulated 2010
with David E. Rapach, Jun Tu, Guofu Zhou
International channels of the Fed's unconventional monetary policy
published2014 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 307 citations · first circulated 2012
with Michael D. Bauer
Lessons from the Taper Tantrum
published2014 · Economic Synopses · 16 citations
Comparing International Bond Yields
published2014 · Economic Synopses
Lessons from the evolution of foreign exchange trading strategies
published2013 · Journal of Banking & Finance · 74 citations · first circulated 2011
with Paul A. Weller
Political Pressure on the Bank of Japan: Interference or Accountability?
published2013 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
Would It Help To Eliminate Interest on Reserves?
published2013 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
CAPITAL FLOWS AND JAPANESE ASSET VOLATILITY
published2012 · Pacific Economic Review · 2 citations · first circulated 2011
with Brett W. Fawley
The Mysterious Greek Yield Curve
published2012 · Economic Synopses · 7 citations
International comovements in inflation rates and country characteristics
published2011 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 173 citations
with David E. Rapach
The Difference Between Currency Manipulation and Monetary Policy
published2011 · Economic Synopses · 6 citations
The Great Foreign Exchange Intervention of 2011
published2011 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Fiscal Policy and Expected Inflation
published2011 · Economic Synopses
Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements
published2010 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 299 citations · first circulated 2007
with Jérôme Lahaye, Sébastien Laurent
Okun’s Law: Output and Unemployment
published2010 · Economic Synopses · 33 citations
The Effects of Large-Scale Asset Purchases on TIPS Inflation Expectations
published2010 · Economic Synopses · 14 citations
with Massimo Guidolin
How Central Should the Central Bank Be?” A Comment
published2010 · Economic Synopses · 2 citations
U.S. Historical Experience with Deflation
published2010 · Economic Synopses
The Dynamic Interaction of Trading Flows, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Exchange Rates
published2009 · 68th International Atlantic Economic Conference
The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market
published2009 · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 286 citations · first circulated 2006
with Paul A. Weller, Joshua M. Ulrich
Markets Worry More about Sovereign Debt
published2009 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Foreign Exchange Volatility Is Priced in Equities
published2008 · Financial Management · 18 citations · first circulated 2004
with Hui Guo, Jason Higbee
The Sovereign Wealth Funds of Nations
published2008 · Economic Synopses · 20 citations
Information shares in the US Treasury market
published2007 · Journal of Banking & Finance · 133 citations · first circulated 2005
with Bruce Mizrach
Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?
published2007 · Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money · 43 citations · first circulated 2002
Investigating the intertemporal risk–return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model
published2007 · Economics Letters · 59 citations · first circulated 2006
with Hui Guo
Central bank authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention
published2007 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 75 citations · first circulated 2006
Central bank intervention and exchange rate volatility, its continuous and jump components
published2007 · International Journal of Finance & Economics · 61 citations · first circulated 2006
with Michel Beine, Jérôme Lahaye, Sébastien Laurent, Franz C. Palm
Exchange rate intervention
published2007 · International Journal of Finance & Economics · 3 citations
with Mark P. Taylor
Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage
published2007 · International Journal of Finance & Economics · 6 citations · first circulated 2006
with Paul A. Weller
One Dollar = One Loonie
published2007 · Economic Synopses
Asian nations driving world oil prices
published2007 · The Regional Economist
with Justin P. Hauke
China’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve: A Drop in the Bucket
published2007 · Economic Synopses
Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?
published2006 · Journal of Banking & Finance · 117 citations · first circulated 2001
with Michael J. Dueker
Year-End Seasonality in One-Month LIBOR Derivatives
published2006 · The Journal of Derivatives · 11 citations · first circulated 2003
with Drew B. Winters
The Puzzling Convergence in Foreign Exchange Volatility
published2006 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Unwinding the Current Account Deficit
published2005 · Economic Synopses · 16 citations
Will Oil Prices Choke Growth?
published2004 · Economic Synopses · 1 citations
Miscommunication shook up mortgage, bond markets
published2004 · The Regional Economist · 2 citations
Endogenous realignments in a target zone
published2003 · Oxford Economic Papers · 1 citations
Intraday technical trading in the foreign exchange market
published2003 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 138 citations · first circulated 1999
with Paul A. Weller
Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets
published2003 · International Review of Economics & Finance · 79 citations · first circulated 1999
Global Factors in Budget Deficits
published2003 · Economic Synopses · 6 citations
Bond Market Mania
published2003 · Economic Synopses · 5 citations
The temporal pattern of trading rule returns and exchange rate intervention: intervention does not generate technical trading profits
published2002 · Journal of International Economics · 109 citations · first circulated 2000
The Fed responds to Sept. 11 attacks
published2002 · The Regional Economist
How Expensive Are Stocks?
published2002 · Economic Synopses
Technical analysis and central bank intervention
published2001 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 98 citations · first circulated 1997
with Paul A. Weller
Risk Aversion Versus Intertemporal Substitution
published2001 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 70 citations
with Amlan Roy, Charles H. Whiteman
Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination
published2000 · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 55 citations · first circulated 1997
with Paul Weller, Paul A. Weller
Stock prices and consumption
published2000 · Monetary Trends
Target zones and conditional volatility: The role of realignments
published1999 · Journal of Empirical Finance · 71 citations · first circulated 1994
Technical trading rules in the European Monetary System
published1999 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 110 citations · first circulated 1997
with Paul A. Weller
Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable? A Genetic Programming Approach
published1997 · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 654 citations · first circulated 1996
with Paul Weller, Rob Dittmar, Paul A. Weller, Robert D. Dittmar
A BENEFIT‐COST ANALYSIS OF DISINFLATION
published1997 · Contemporary Economic Policy · 10 citations
with Christopher J. Waller

Assembled from arXiv and OpenAlex. Duplicate records for the same paper are merged, and the published version is shown where we could identify one. Corrections welcome.