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Philippe Ciais

Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (per OpenAlex) · ORCID · OpenAlex

61 papers in scope · 60 published · 1 on the econ.EM arXiv · 7,472 citations · h-index 33 (over the papers listed here)

Papers

(1 of 61)

Global carbon emissions and decarbonization in 2024
published2025 · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · 210 citations
with Zhu Deng, Biqing Zhu, Steven J. Davis, Dabo Guan, Peng Gong, Zhu Liu
Testing GWP* to quantify non-CO2 contributions in the carbon budget framework in overshoot scenarios
published2025 · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · 3 citations
with Matteo Mastropierro, Katsumasa Tanaka, Irina Melnikova
emIAM v1.0: an emulator for integrated assessment models using marginal abatement cost curves
published2025 · Geoscientific model development · 3 citations · first circulated 2022
with Weiwei Xiong, Katsumasa Tanaka, Daniel Johansson, Mariliis Lehtveer
Overconfidence in climate overshoot
published2024 · Nature · 154 citations · first circulated 2023
with Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Quentin Lejeune, Biqing Zhu, Peter Pfleiderer, Ruben Prütz, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Thomas Gasser, Matthew Gidden, Chahan M. Kropf, Fabrice Lacroix, …
Carbon Monitor Power-Simulators (CMP-SIM v1.0) across countries: a data-driven approach to simulate daily power generation
published2024 · Geoscientific model development · 2 citations · first circulated 2023
with Léna Gurriaran, Yannig Goude, Katsumasa Tanaka, Biqing Zhu, Zhu Deng, Xuanren Song
Least-cost and 2 °C-compliant mitigation pathways robust to physical uncertainty, economic paradigms, and intergenerational cost distribution
published2024 · Environmental Research Climate · 2 citations
with Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Franck Lecocq, Johannes Bednar, Katsumasa Tanaka
Leveraging Satellite Data With Machine and Deep Learning Techniques for Corn Yield and Price Forecasting
published2024 · IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing · 8 citations
with Florian Teste, Hugo Gangloff, Mathilde Chen, David Makowski
Assessing carbon cycle projections from complex and simple models under SSP scenarios
published2023 · Climatic Change · 13 citations
with Irina Melnikova, Oliviér Boucher, Katsumasa Tanaka
SolarEV City Concept for Paris
published2023 · Applied Energy · 33 citations
with Paul Deroubaix, Takuro Kobashi, Léna Gurriaran, Fouzi Benkhelifa, Katsumasa Tanaka
Carbonyl sulfide (COS) emissions in two agroecosystems in central France
published2022 · PLoS ONE · 26 citations
with Sauveur Belviso, Camille Abadie, David Montagne, Dalila Hadjar, Didier Tropée, Laurence Vialettes, Victor Kazan, Marc Delmotte, Fabienne Maignan, Marine Remaud, Michel Ramonet, Morgan Lopez, …
Quantifying the benefits of reducing synthetic nitrogen application policy on ecosystem carbon sequestration and biodiversity
published2022 · Scientific Reports · 5 citations
with N. Devaraju, Rémi Prudhomme, Anna Lungarska, Xuhui Wang, Zun Yin, Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré, Raja Chakir, Pierre-Alain Jayet, Thierry Brunelle, Nicolas Viovy, Adriana De Palma, Ricardo González, …
Space-based Earth observation in support of the UNFCCC Paris Agreement
published2022 · Frontiers in Environmental Science · 27 citations
with Michaela I. Hegglin, Ana Bastos, H. Bovensmann, Michael Buchwitz, Dominic Fawcett, Darren Ghent, Gemma Kulk, Shubha Sathyendranath, Theodore G. Shepherd, S. Quegan, Regine Röthlisberger, Stephen Briggs, …
working paper2022 · arXiv · 1 citations
Biophysical and economic constraints on China’s natural climate solutions
published2022 · Nature Climate Change · 160 citations
with Nan Lü, Hanqin Tian, Bojie Fu, Huiqian Yu, Shilong Piao, Shiyin Chen, Ya Li, Xiaoyong Li, Mengyu Wang, Zidong Li, Lu Zhang, Pete Smith, …
Evaluating China’s Role in Achieving the 1.5 °C Target of the Paris Agreement
published2022 · Energies · 9 citations
with Weiwei Xiong, Katsumasa Tanaka, Liang Yan
Climate Warming Mitigation from Nationally Determined Contributions
published2022 · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · 14 citations
with Bo Fu, Jingyi Li, Thomas Gasser, Shilong Piao, Shu Tao, Guofeng Shen, Yuqin Lai, Luchao Han, Bengang Li
Paris Agreement requires substantial, broad, and sustained policy efforts beyond COVID-19 public stimulus packages
published2022 · Climatic Change · 14 citations
with Katsumasa Tanaka, Christian Azar, Oliviér Boucher, Yann Gaucher, Daniel Johansson
A mixed‐effect model approach for assessing land‐based mitigation in integrated assessment models: A regional perspective
published2021 · Global Change Biology · 10 citations
with Thais Diniz Oliveira, Thierry Brunelle, Bertrand Guenet, Florian Leblanc, Céline Guivarch
A top-down approach of sources and non-photosynthetic sinks of carbonyl sulfide from atmospheric measurements over multiple years in the Paris region (France)
published2020 · PLoS ONE · 36 citations
with Sauveur Belviso, Benjamin Lebegue, Michel Ramonet, Victor Kazan, Isabelle Pison, Antoine Berchet, Marc Delmotte, Camille Yver Kwok, David Montagne
Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble
published2019 · PLoS ONE · 90 citations
with Christian Folberth, Joshua Elliott, Christoph Müller, Juraj Balkovič, James Chryssanthacopoulos, R. C. Izaurralde, Curtis D. Jones, Nikolay Khabarov, Wenfeng Liu, Ashwan Reddy, Erwin Schmid, Rastislav Skalský, …
Recent Warming Has Resulted in Smaller Gains in Net Carbon Uptake in Northern High Latitudes
published2019 · Journal of Climate · 11 citations
with Peng Zhu, Qianlai Zhuang, L. R. Welp, Martin Heimann, Bin Peng, Wenyu Li, Carl J. Bernacchi, C. Roedenbeck, Trevor F. Keenan
Summer Temperature over the Tibetan Plateau Modulated by Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
published2019 · Journal of Climate · 45 citations
with Chunming Shi, Cheng Sun, Guocan Wu, Xiuchen Wu, Deliang Chen, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Jianping Li, Jiaqing Xue, Zongshan Li, Duoying Ji, Jing Zhang, Ze-Xin Fan, …
Global and regional CO 2 budget comparison between top-down and bottom-up approaches
published2018 · AGUFM
with Masayuki Kondo, Prabir K. Patra, Stephen Sitch, Frédéric Chevallier, Josep G. Canadell, Ana Bastos, Benjamin Poulter, Leonardo Calle, Kazuhito Ichii
Yield trends, variability and stagnation analysis of major crops in France over more than a century
published2018 · Scientific Reports · 145 citations
with Bernhard Schauberger, Tamara Ben-Ari, David Makowski, Tomomichi Kato, Hiromi Kato
Contrasting streamflow regimes induced by melting glaciers across the Tien Shan – Pamir – North Karakoram
published2018 · Scientific Reports · 92 citations
with Yi Luo, Xiaolei Wang, Shilong Piao, Lin Sun, Yiqing Zhang, Changkun Ma, Rong Gan, Chansheng He
The impact of future climate change and potential adaptation methods on Maize yields in West Africa
published2018 · Climatic Change · 29 citations
with Ben Parkes, Benjamin Sultan
Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs
published2018 · PLoS ONE · 67 citations
with Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Alex C. Ruane, Juraj Balkovič, Delphine Deryng, Christian Folberth, R. C. Izaurralde, Curtis D. Jones, Nikolay Khabarov, Peter Lawrence, Wenfeng Liu, …
Evaluation of CMIP5 Earth System Models for the Spatial Patterns of Biomass and Soil Carbon Turnover Times and Their Linkage with Climate
published2018 · Journal of Climate · 49 citations
with Donghai Wu, Shilong Piao, Yongwen Liu, Yitong Yao
Infrastructure Shapes Differences in the Carbon Intensities of Chinese Cities
published2018 · Environmental Science & Technology · 58 citations
with Bo Zheng, Qiang Zhang, Steven J. Davis, Chaopeng Hong, Meng Li, Fei Liu, Dan Tong, Haiyan Li, Kebin He, Q. Zhang, Minyong Li, Hui Lĭ, …
Impact of the coordinated allocation of foliar ressources on simulated carbon assimilation with the ORCHIDEE model
published2018 · EGUGA
with Marc Peaucelle, Nicolas Viovy, Perrine Augrit, Daniel S. Goll, Vincent Maire, Lieneke M. Verheijen, Peter M. van Bodegom, Mengtian Huang, Oskar Franklin, Jens Kattge, Jean-François Soussana, Jordi Sardans, …
Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land‐based climate‐change mitigation efforts
published2018 · Global Change Biology · 99 citations
with Andreas Krause, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Anita D. Bayer, Wei Li, Felix Leung, Alberte Bondeau, Jonathan Doelman, Florian Humpenöder, Peter Anthoni, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Christoph Müller, Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo, …
Impact of Earth Greening on the Terrestrial Water Cycle
published2018 · Journal of Climate · 220 citations
with Zhenzhong Zeng, Shilong Piao, Laurent Li, Tao Wang, Xu Lian, Yuting Yang, Jiafu Mao, Xiaoying Shi, Ranga B. Myneni
How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget
published2017 · Nature Climate Change · 130 citations
with Michael Obersteiner, Johannes Bednar, Fabian Wagner, Thomas Gasser, Nicklas Forsell, Stefan Frank, Peter Havlík, Hugo Valin, Ivan A. Janssens, Josep Peñuelas, Guido Schmidt-Traub
Possible pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks as agreed in Paris COP21
published2017 · Ecosistemas · 1 citations
with Josep Peñuelas, Jordi Sardans, S. Walsh, Ivan A. Janssens, Keywan Riahi, Felicjan Rydzak, Michael Obersteiner
Increasing gap in human height between rich and poor countries associated to their different intakes of N and P
published2017 · Scientific Reports · 19 citations
with Josep Peñuelas, Ivan A. Janssens, Michael Obersteiner, Tamás Krisztin, Shilong Piao, Jordi Sardans
Atmospheric deposition, CO2, and change in the land carbon sink
published2017 · Scientific Reports · 95 citations
with Marcos Fernández-Martínez, Sara Vicca, Ivan A. Janssens, Michael Obersteiner, Mireia Bartrons, Jordi Sardans, Aleixandre Verger, Josep G. Canadell, Frédéric Chevallier, Xuhui Wang, Christian Bernhofer, Peter S. Curtis, …
Uncertainty in the response of terrestrial carbon sink to environmental drivers undermines carbon-climate feedback predictions
published2017 · Scientific Reports · 259 citations
with D. N. Huntzinger, A. M. Michalak, Christopher R. Schwalm, A. W. King, Yuanyuan Fang, Kevin Schaefer, Yaxing Wei, Robert B. Cook, Joshua B. Fisher, Daniel J. Hayes, Maoyi Huang, Akihiko Ito, …
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection
published2017 · Journal of Climate · 15 citations
with Yongwen Liu, Shilong Piao, Xu Lian, William K. Smith
Global patterns of phosphatase activity in natural soils
published2017 · Scientific Reports · 494 citations
with Olga Margalef, Jordi Sardans, Marcos Fernández-Martínez, Roberto Molowny-Horas, Ivan A. Janssens, Daniel S. Goll, Andreas Richter, Michael Obersteiner, Dolores Asensio, Josep Peñuelas
Dominant role of plant physiology in trend and variability of gross primary productivity in North America
published2017 · Scientific Reports · 82 citations
with Sha Zhou, Yao Zhang, Xiangming Xiao, Yiqi Luo, K. K. Caylor, Yuefei Huang, Guangqian Wang
Precipitation and carbon-water coupling jointly control the interannual variability of global land gross primary production
published2016 · Scientific Reports · 102 citations
with Yao Zhang, Xiangming Xiao, Luis Guanter, Sha Zhou, Joanna Joiner, Stephen Sitch, Xiaocui Wu, Julia Nabel, Jinwei Dong, Etsushi Kato, Atul K. Jain, Andy Wiltshire, …
CO??? and greening observations indicate increasing light-use efficiency in northern terrestrial ecosystems
published2016 · EGUGA
with R. Thomas, I. Colin Prentice, Heather Graven, J. B. Fisher, DJ Hayes, Mingpan Huang, DN Huntzinger, Akihiko Ito, Atul K. Jain, Jiafu Mao, AM Michalak, Shushi Peng, …
Reducing human nitrogen use for food production
published2016 · Scientific Reports · 79 citations
with Junguo Liu, Kun Ma, Stephen Polasky
In the wake of Paris Agreement, scientists must embrace new directions for climate change research
published2016 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 80 citations
with Oliviér Boucher, Valentin Bellassen, Hélène Benveniste, Patrick Criqui, Céline Guivarch, Hervé Le Treut, Sandrine Mathy, Roland Séférian
A comprehensive estimate of recent carbon sinks in China using both top-down and bottom-up approaches
published2016 · Scientific Reports · 128 citations
with Fei Jiang, Jing M. Chen, Lingxi Zhou, Weimin Ju, Huifang Zhang, Toshinobu Machida, Wouter Peters, Hengmao Wang, Baozhang Chen, Lixin Liu, Chunhua Zhang, Hidekazu Matsueda, …
Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions
published2015 · Nature Climate Change · 1454 citations
with Pete Smith, Steven J. Davis, Felix Creutzig, Sabine Fuss, Jan C. Minx, Benoît Gabrielle, Etsushi Kato, Robert B. Jackson, Annette Cowie, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Joeri Rogelj, …
Negative emissions physically needed to keep global warming below 2 °C
published2015 · Nature Communications · 375 citations
with Thomas Gasser, Céline Guivarch, Kaoru Tachiiri, Chris Jones
Modeled Changes in Potential Grassland Productivity and in Grass-Fed Ruminant Livestock Density in Europe over 1961–2010
published2015 · PLoS ONE · 65 citations
with Jinfeng Chang, Nicolas Viovy, Nicolas Vuichard, Matteo Campioli, Katja Klumpp, Raphaël Martin, Adrian Leip, Jean-François Soussana
Projection des changements climatiques futurs
published2015 · La Météorologie · 4 citations
with Oliviér Boucher, Jean-Louis Dufresne, Jessica Vial, Éric Brun, Julien Cattiaux, Fabrice Chauvin, David Salas y Mélia, Aurore Voldoire, Laurent Bopp, Pascale Braconnot, Pascal Yiou, Éric Guilyardi, …
Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions
published2014 · Nature Climate Change · 389 citations
with Michael Raupach, Steven J. Davis, Glen P. Peters, Robbie M. Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Pierre Friedlingstein, Frank Jotzo, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Corinne Le Quéré
Accurate measurements of CO2 mole fraction in the atmospheric surface layer by an affordable instrumentation
published2014 · Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja · 4 citations
with P. Keronen, Anni Reissell, Frédéric Chevallier, Erkki Siivola, T. Pohja, V. Hiltunen, J. Hatakka, T. Aalto, Léonard Rivier, L. Rivier, P. Ciais, A. Jordan, …
An Adaptation Dilemma Caused by Impacts-Modeling Uncertainty
published2013 · AGUFM
with Katja Frieler, Christine H. Müller, John Elliott, Jens Heinke, A. Arneth, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Dean Clark, Delphine Deryng, Petra Döll, Pete Falloon, B M Fekete, Christian Folberth, …
Committed changes in tropical tree cover under the projected 21st century climate change
published2013 · Scientific Reports · 23 citations
with Zhenzhong Zeng, Shilong Piao, Anping Chen, Xin Lin, Huijuan Nan, Junsheng Li, A. Chen, J. Li
Evaluating the Land and Ocean Components of the Global Carbon Cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models
published2013 · Journal of Climate · 556 citations
with Alessandro Anav, Pierre Friedlingstein, Mehera Kidston, Laurent Bopp, Peter M. Cox, Chris Jones, M. Jung, Ranga B. Myneni, Zaichun Zhu
Global Priority Conservation Areas in the Face of 21st Century Climate Change
published2013 · PLoS ONE · 55 citations
with Junsheng Li, Xin Lin, Anping Chen, A. Townsend Peterson, Keping Ma, Monika Bertzky, Valerie Kapos, Changhui Peng, Benjamin Poulter
The challenge to keep global warming below 2 °C
published2012 · Nature Climate Change · 983 citations
with Glen P. Peters, Robbie M. Andrew, T. A. Boden, Josep G. Canadell, Corinne Le Quéré, Gregg Marland, Michael Raupach, Charlie Wilson
Long-term climate implications of twenty-first century options for carbon dioxide emission mitigation
published2011 · Nature Climate Change · 104 citations
with Pierre Friedlingstein, Susan Solomon, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Reto Knutti, Michael Raupach
Hot European Summers and the Role of Soil Moisture in the Propagation of Mediterranean Drought
published2009 · Journal of Climate · 222 citations
with Matteo Zampieri, Fabio D’Andrea, Robert Vautard, Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré, Pascal Yiou
The Timing of Biological Carbon Sequestration and Carbon Abatement in the Energy Sector Under Optimal Strategies Against Climate Risks
published2006 · The Energy Journal · 18 citations · first circulated 2005
with Vincent Gitz, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Jean Charles Hourcade
Future Expansion Of Agriculture and Pasture Acts to Amplify Atmospheric CO2 Levels in Response to Fossil-Fuel and Land-Use Change Emissions
published2004 · Climatic Change · 59 citations
with Vincent Gitz
Quantifying, Understanding and Managing the Carbon Cycle in the Next Decades
published2004 · Climatic Change · 42 citations
with Josep G. Canadell, Peter M. Cox, Martin Heimann

Assembled from arXiv and OpenAlex. Duplicate records for the same paper are merged, and the published version is shown where we could identify one. Corrections welcome.