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Roberto Casarin

Ca' Foscari University of Venice (from arXiv:2604.05838, 2026) · ORCID · OpenAlex

71 papers in scope · 66 published · 6 on the econ.EM arXiv · 1,544 citations · h-index 21 (over the papers listed here)

Related authors

The 20 authors closest to this one in our weighted citation graph, most related first.

  1. Ovielt Baltodano López
  2. Giulia Carallo
  3. Jan van den Brakel
  4. Franz C. Palm
  5. Caterina Schiavoni
  6. Federico Bassetti
  7. Andrea Bastianin
  8. Graziano Moramarco
  9. Emanuele Bacchiocchi
  10. Stephan Smeekes
  11. Etiënne Wijler
  12. Enrica De Cian
  13. Malcolm Mistry
  14. Anthony Osuntuyi
  15. Monica Billio
  16. Marina Friedrich
  17. Luca Margaritella
  18. Luca Rossini
  19. Alain Hecq
  20. Jean-Pierre Urbain

Proximity is measured over citations between two papers we both hold, weighted by how heavily one leans on the other, and is symmetric — it does not distinguish citing from being cited. Authors without a profile here are skipped, and a genuinely close colleague can be missing simply because their work is not in our arXiv corpus. Method: docs/06-citations-pipeline.md.

Papers

(8 of 71)

Forecasting daily visits in Shanghai with Model combination and Telco big data
published2026 · Tourism Economics
with Nicola Camatti, Giulia Carallo, X Xiuzhen Feng, Xiang Feng
Fiscal Policy Regimes in Resource‐Rich Economies
published2026 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 1 citations · first circulated 2023
with Hilde C. Bjornland, Marco Lorusso, Francesco Ravazzolo, Hilde C. Bjørnland
working paper2026 · arXiv
2nd Special Issue on Bayesian Methods in Statistics and Econometrics: Structured dependence and robust inference at scale
published2026 · Econometrics and Statistics
with Luciana DallaValle, Michele Guindani, Daniel Kowal, Yasuhiro Omori
Towards a better understanding of financial and economic systems’ complexities: some new evidence coming from artificial intelligence, machine learning and big data advanced technologies
published2026 · Annals of Operations Research
with Hachmi Ben Ameur, Massimiliano Caporin, Zied Ftiti, Bertrand B. Maillet
Compounding geopolitical and energy risks: A clustered stochastic multi-COVOL model
published2025 · Energy Economics · 1 citations
published2025 · Econometrics and Statistics · 1 citations · first circulated 2022
Markov switching multiple-equation tensor regressions
published2025 · Journal of Multivariate Analysis · 2 citations · first circulated 2024
with Radu V. Craiu, Qīng Wáng
working paper2025 · arXiv
with Monica Billio, Fausto Corradin, Antonio Peruzzi
Bayesian dynamic quantile model averaging
published2024 · Annals of Operations Research · 4 citations · first circulated 2016
with Mauro Bernardi, Bertrand Maillet, Lea Petrella
working paper2024 · arXiv
Learning from experts: Energy efficiency in residential buildings
published2024 · Energy Economics · 14 citations · first circulated 2023
with Monica Billio, Michele Costola, Veronica Veggente
Structural changes in contagion channels: the impact of COVID-19 on the Italian electricity market
published2024 · Annals of Operations Research · 4 citations · first circulated 2021
with Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, Emmanuel Senyo Fianu, Luigi Grossi
Living on the Edge: An Unified Approach to Antithetic Sampling
published2024 · Statistical Science · 2 citations · first circulated 2021
with Radu V. Craiu, Lorenzo Frattarolo, Christian P. Robert
published2023 · International Journal of Forecasting · 10 citations
with Giulia Carallo, Christian P. Robert
Modeling Corporate CDS Spreads Using Markov Switching Regressions
published2023 · Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
A Dynamic Latent-Space Model for Asset Clustering
published2023 · Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics · 2 citations
Nowcasting industrial production using linear and non-linear models of electricity demand
published2023 · Energy Economics · 11 citations
with Giulio Galdi, Davide Ferrari, Carlo Fezzi, Francesco Ravazzolo
Bayesian Nonparametric Panel Markov-Switching GARCH Models
published2023 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 5 citations · first circulated 2020
with Mauro Costantini, Anthony Osuntuyi
A flexible predictive density combination for large financial data sets in regular and crisis periods
published2023 · Journal of Econometrics · 8 citations · first circulated 2021
with Stefano Grassi, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk, Francesco Ravazzollo
working paper2022 · arXiv
Bayesian Markov-Switching Tensor Regression for Time-Varying Networks
published2022 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 14 citations · first circulated 2017
Bayesian Dynamic Tensor Regression
published2022 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 33 citations · first circulated 2017
with Monica Billio, Matteo Iacopini, Sylvia Kaufmann
Forecasting Economic Indicators with Robust Factor Models
published2022 · National Accounting Review · 10 citations
with Fausto Corradin, Monica Billio
Modeling Turning Points in the Global Equity Market
published2021 · Econometrics and Statistics · 9 citations · first circulated 2020
with Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, Monica Billio
published2021 · Econometrics and Statistics · 11 citations
On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting
published2021 · Economic Modelling · 3 citations
with Mauro Costantini, Antonio Paradiso
Markov switching panel with endogenous synchronization effects
published2021 · Journal of Econometrics · 17 citations
A Matrix-Variate t Model for Networks
published2021 · Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence · 7 citations
working paper2020 · arXiv · 6 citations
with Monica Billio, Enrica De Cian, Malcolm Mistry, Anthony Osuntuyi, Ayokunle Anthony Osuntuyi
Multilayer network analysis of oil linkages
published2020 · Econometrics Journal · 21 citations · first circulated 2018
with Matteo Iacopini, Germán Molina, Enrique ter Horst, Ramón Espinasa, Carlos Sucre, Roberto Rigobón
What makes a tweet be retweeted? A Bayesian trigram analysis of tweet propagation during the 2015 Colombian political campaign
published2019 · Journal of Information Science · 9 citations
with Juan C. Correa, Jorge E. Camargo, Silvana Dakduk, Enrique ter Horst, Germán Molina
Hierarchical Species Sampling Models
published2019 · Bayesian Analysis · 3 citations
Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models
published2019 · Journal of Econometrics · 74 citations
A Stochastic Volatility Model With Realized Measures for Option Pricing
published2019 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 19 citations
Structural changes in large economic datasets: A nonparametric homogeneity test
published2018 · Economics Letters · 3 citations
Uncertainty through the lenses of a mixed-frequency Bayesian panel Markov-switching model
published2018 · The Annals of Applied Statistics · 31 citations
Modeling systemic risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR models
published2018 · Journal of Econometrics · 73 citations
with Daniele Bianchi, Monica Billio, Massimo Guidolin
A Bayesian Time Varying Approach to Risk Neutral Density Estimation
published2018 · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) · 5 citations · first circulated 2015
with Germán Molina, Enrique ter Horst
Relating group size and posting activity of an online community of financial investors: Regularities and seasonal patterns
published2017 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 3 citations
with P. Racca, Pierpaolo Dondio, Flaminio Squazzoni
Markov switching GARCH models for Bayesian hedging on energy futures markets
published2017 · Energy Economics · 58 citations · first circulated 2013
with Monica Billio, Anthony Osuntuyi, Ayokunle Anthony Osuntuyi
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions
published2017 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 59 citations · first circulated 2015
Resilience of an online financial community to market uncertainty shocks during the recent financial crisis
published2016 · Journal of Computational Science · 10 citations
with P. Racca, Flaminio Squazzoni, Pierpaolo Dondio
An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk
published2016 · Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money · 76 citations · first circulated 2015
with Monica Billio, Michele Costola, Andrea Pasqualini
Dynamic Model Averaging for Quantile Regression
published2016 · 48th Scientific Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society · 3 citations
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions
published2016 · Econometrics · 27 citations
Computational Complexity and Parallelization in Bayesian Econometric Analysis
published2016 · Econometrics · 1 citations
with Nalan Baştürk, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk
Interconnections Between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model
published2016 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 59 citations · first circulated 2013
with Monica Billio, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk, H. K. van Dijk
A Bayesian Markov-Switching Correlation Model for Contagion Analysis on Exchange Rate Markets
published2016 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 32 citations
with Domenico Sartore, Marco Tronzano
Sparse Graphical Vector Autoregression: A Bayesian Approach
published2016 · Annals of Economics and Statistics · 51 citations · first circulated 2014
with Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, Monica Billio
Embarrassingly parallel sequential Markov-chain Monte Carlo for large sets of time series
published2016 · Statistics and Its Interface · 1 citations · first circulated 2015
with Radu V. Craiu, Fabrizio Leisen
Decrypting Financial Markets through E-Joint Attention Efforts: On-Line Adaptive Networks of Investors in Periods of Market Uncertainty
published2015 · PLoS ONE · 18 citations
with Niccolò Casnici, Pierpaolo Dondio, Flaminio Squazzoni
A Bayesian Beta Markov Random Field Calibration of the Term Structure of Implied Risk Neutral Densities
published2015 · Bayesian Analysis · 15 citations · first circulated 2014
with Fabrizio Leisen, Germán Molina, Enrique ter Horst
Bayesian Graphical Models for STructural Vector Autoregressive Processes
published2015 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 205 citations · first circulated 2012
with Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, Monica Billio
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox
published2015 · Journal of Statistical Software · 32 citations · first circulated 2013
with Stefano Grassi, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk
Comment on Article by Windle and Carvalho
published2014 · Bayesian Analysis · 1 citations
Efficient Gibbs sampling for Markov switching GARCH models
published2014 · Computational Statistics & Data Analysis · 36 citations · first circulated 2012
with Monica Billio, Anthony Osuntuyi, Ayokunle Anthony Osuntuyi
Beta-product dependent Pitman–Yor processes for Bayesian inference
published2014 · Journal of Econometrics · 11 citations · first circulated 2013
with Federico Bassetti, Fabrizio Leisen
Probabilistic Calibration of Predictive Distributions
published2014 · View
with Francesco Ravazzolo, Tilmann Gneiting
Comment on a Tractable State-Space Model for Symmetric Positive-Definite Matrices
published2014 · Bayesian Analysis · 1 citations
Being on the Field When the Game Is Still Under Way. The Financial Press and Stock Markets in Times of Crisis
published2013 · PLoS ONE · 36 citations · first circulated 2012
with Flaminio Squazzoni
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering
published2013 · Journal of Econometrics · 155 citations · first circulated 2012
with Monica Billio, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk, M Bilio
Combination schemes for turning point predictions
published2012 · The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance · 46 citations · first circulated 2011
with Monica Billio, Francesco Ravazzolo, Herman K. van Dijk, H. K. van Dijk
Risk management of risk under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX futures
published2012 · Mathematics and Computers in Simulation · 19 citations · first circulated 2011
with Chia-Lin Chang, Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín, Michael McAleer, Teodosio Pérez-Amaral
Bayesian Model Selection for Beta Autoregressive Processes
published2012 · Bayesian Analysis · 32 citations · first circulated 2010
with Luciana Dalla Valle, Fabrizio Leisen
Beta Autoregressive Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis
published2011 · Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics · 19 citations
Identifying business cycle turning points with sequential Monte Carlo methods: an online and real‐time application to the Euro area
published2009 · Journal of Forecasting · 25 citations · first circulated 2008
Online data processing: Comparison of Bayesian regularized particle filters
published2009 · Electronic Journal of Statistics · 51 citations · first circulated 2008
with Jean-Michel Marin
A discussion on: Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations by Rue, H. Martino, S. and Chopin, N.
published2009 · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 1 citations
with J. Miguel Marín, Christian P. Robert
Stochastic optimization for allocation problems with shortfall risk constraints
published2007 · Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry · 21 citations · first circulated 2006
Relative benchmark rating and persistence analysis: Evidence from Italian equity funds
published2005 · European Journal of Finance · 27 citations
with Marco Lazzarin, Loriana Pelizzon, Domenico Sartore

Assembled from arXiv and OpenAlex. Duplicate records for the same paper are merged, and the published version is shown where we could identify one. Corrections welcome.