← All authors Paul Ormerod Cairns Hospital (per OpenAlex) · ORCID · OpenAlex
64 papers in scope · 63 published · 1 on the econ.EM arXiv · 1,739 citations · h-index 19 (over the papers listed here)
Papers (1 of 64)
FULLY GROWN: WHY A STAGNANT ECONOMY IS A SIGN OF SUCCESS, by DietrichVollrathUniversity of Chicago Press (2020), 296 pp. ISBN: 978‐0226666006 (hb, £20.00); 978‐0226666143 (e‐book, £10.09)
published 2021 · Economic Affairs
Explaining herding and volatility in the cyclical price dynamics of urban housing markets using a large-scale agent-based model
published 2021 · SN Business & Economics · 4 citations · first circulated 2020
with K. S. Glavatskiy, Mikhail Prokopenko, Adrián Carro, Michael Harré
News and narratives in financial systems: Exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment
published 2021 · Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control · 135 citations · first circulated 2018
working paper 2020 · arXiv · 1 citations
Andrew W. Lo. Adaptive Markets: Financial Evolution at the Speed of Thought
published 2019 · Evolutionary Studies in Imaginative Culture
Economics Can Be Powerful but Needs to Move On
published 2018 · Evolutionary Studies in Imaginative Culture
Market Structure with Interacting Consumers
published 2017 · Review of Behavioral Economics · 1 citations
with Camila Caiado
Ten years after “Worrying trends in econophysics”: developments and current challenges
published 2016 · The European Physical Journal Special Topics · 10 citations
Corruption and economic resilience: recovery from the financial crisis in western economies
published 2016 · Economic Affairs · 16 citations
Picking Up the Gauntlet: Richard Thaler's Defence of Behavioural Economics
published 2016 · Economic Affairs · 2 citations
The Economics of Radical Uncertainty
published 2015 · Economics · 8 citations
Books Average Previous Decade of Economic Misery
published 2014 · PLoS ONE · 57 citations
with R. Alexander Bentley, Alberto Acerbi, Vasileios Lampos
The persistence of unemployment at the local area level: evidence from the US and the UK
published 2013 · Applied Economics Letters · 1 citations
A complex systems approach to constructing better models for managing financial markets and the economy
published 2012 · The European Physical Journal Special Topics · 158 citations
Statistics: Forecasting with finesse
published 2012 · Nature · 1 citations
Technological innovation, business cycles and self-organized criticality in market economies
published 2012 · Europhysics Letters (EPL) · 6 citations
with Ning Xi, Yougui Wang
Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve
published 2012 · Applied Economics · 28 citations · first circulated 2009
with Bridget Rosewell, Peter Phelps, Stephen T. Easton
The structure of economic connections between industries: non-scaling behaviour
published 2012 · International Journal of Complexity in Leadership and Management
with Camila Caiado
The current crisis and the culpability of macroeconomic theory
published 2010 · Twenty-First Century Society · 5 citations
Risk, recessions and the resilience of the capitalist economies
published 2010 · Risk Management · 32 citations
Modelling Creative Innovation
published 2010 · Cultural Science Journal · 1 citations
with R. Alexander Bentley
Innovation, diffusion and agglomeration
published 2009 · Economics of Innovation and New Technology · 4 citations
with Bridget Rosewell
TRADITION AND FASHION IN CONSUMER CHOICE: BAGGING THE SCOTTISH MUNROS
published 2009 · Scottish Journal of Political Economy · 13 citations
with R. Alexander Bentley
Global recessions as a cascade phenomenon with interacting agents
published 2009 · Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination · 2 citations · first circulated 2008
with Amy Heineike
Physical space and long-tail markets
published 2008 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 14 citations
with R. Alexander Bentley, Mark E. Madsen
Random Matrix Theory and Macro-Economic Time-Series: An Illustration Using the Evolution of Business Cycle Synchronisation, 1886–2006
published 2008 · Economics · 8 citations
Resilience after localeconomic shocks
published 2008 · Applied Economics Letters · 28 citations
Extracting deep information from limited observations on an evolved social network
published 2006 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 10 citations
Financial market complexity Neil F. Johnson, Paul Jeffries and Pak Ming Hui, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2003; 254 pp, ISBN 0‐19‐852665‐2
published 2006 · International Journal of Finance & Economics
Worrying trends in econophysics
published 2006 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 220 citations
with Mauro Gallegati, Steve Keen, Thomas Lux
Economic modelling with low-cognition agents
published 2006 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 1 citations
Assessing the Productivity of the UK Retail Sector
published 2005 · The International Review of Retail Distribution and Consumer Research · 102 citations
with Jonathan Reynolds, Elizabeth Howard, Dmitry Dragun, Bridget Rosewell
Complexity and the limits to knowledge
published 2005 · Futures · 5 citations
Social Networks: Their Role in Access to Financial Services in Britain
published 2004 · National Institute Economic Review · 14 citations
with Pamela Meadows, William A. Cook
Information cascades and the distribution of economic recessions in capitalist economies
published 2004 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 17 citations
The Medieval inquisition: scale-free networks and the suppression of heresy
published 2004 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 55 citations
with Andrew P. Roach
How much can firms know
published 2004 · Computing in Economics and Finance
with Bridget Rosewell
no link
Scaling invariant distributions of firms’ exit in OECD countries
published 2003 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 38 citations
with Corrado Di Guilmi, Mauro Gallegati
The US business cycle: power law scaling for interacting units with complex internal structure
published 2002 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 22 citations
Eigen analysis of the stability and degree of information content in correlation matrices constructed from property time series data
published 2002 · The European Physical Journal B · 4 citations
with Walter Wheeler Cook, C. C. Mounfield, Leigh M. Smith
The convergence of European business cycles 1978–2000
published 2002 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 13 citations · first circulated 2001
with C. C. Mounfield, C Mounfield
Power law distribution of the duration and magnitude of recessions in capitalist economies: breakdown of scaling
published 2001 · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · 46 citations
with C. C. Mounfield
Revisiting The Death of Economics
published 2001 · World Economy · 2 citations
no link
Butterfly Economics: A New General Theory of Social and Economic Behavior
published 2000 · Foreign Affairs · 23 citations
with Richard N. Cooper
Situational Analysis and the Concept of Equilibrium
published 1998 · Philosophy of the Social Sciences · 1 citations
with Bridget Rosewell
Richard Goodwin: A Short Appreciation
published 1998 · The Economic Journal · 21 citations
with Meghnad Desai
The impossibility of accurate macro‐economic forecasting
published 1997 · Economic Affairs · 1 citations
Unemployment and the Distribution of Income
published 1996 · Economic Affairs · 1 citations
The Death of Economics.
published 1995 · The Economic Journal · 286 citations
with David F. Heathfield
A smart automated macroeconometric forecasting system
published 1994 · Journal of Forecasting · 18 citations
with Scott Moss, Michael J. Artis
Managing tuberculosis and HIV infection: Author's reply
published 1992 · BMJ
THE FORWARD RATE FOR THE U.S. DOLLAR AND THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS, 1978–1983 *
published 1984 · Manchester School · 9 citations
with Andy Murfin
Large-Scale Macro-Econometric Models.
published 1983 · Economica · 147 citations
with Jan Kmenta, James B. Ramsey
Rational and Non-Rational Expectations of Inflation in Wage Equations for the United Kingdom
published 1982 · Economica · 9 citations
Unemployment in Interwar Britain
published 1982 · Journal of Political Economy · 49 citations
with G. D. N. Worswick
The maintenance of large macro-economic models: a case study with the NIESR model of the UK economy
published 1981 · Applied Economics
Economic Modelling. Current Issues and Problems in Macroeconomic Modelling in the UK and the US.
published 1980 · The Economic Journal · 15 citations
with David Bell
MANUFACTURED EXPORT PRICES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE “LAW OF ONE PRICE”*
published 1980 · Manchester School · 10 citations
The forward exchange rate for sterling and the efficiency of expectations
published 1980 · Review of World Economics · 2 citations
Incomes Policy and Wage Inflation: Empirical Evidence for the UK 1961-1977
published 1978 · National Institute Economic Review · 30 citations
with S. G. B. Henry
St. Louis Models of the UK Economy
published 1978 · National Institute Economic Review · 9 citations
with Kent Matthews
Properties of Macroeconomic Models of the UK Economy: A Comparative Study
published 1978 · National Institute Economic Review · 21 citations
with J. S. E. Laury, G. R. Lewis
Formal and Informal Aspects of Forecasting With an Econometric Model
published 1977 · National Institute Economic Review · 2 citations
with M. J. C. Surrey
Activity rates and unemployment in G.B.: an empirical rejoinder
published 1976 · Applied Economics · 1 citations
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