← All authors Òscar Jordà Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (from arXiv:2507.01167, 2025) · ORCID · OpenAlex
73 papers in scope · 71 published · 3 on the econ.EM arXiv · 11,439 citations · h-index 34 (over the papers listed here)
Related authors The 20 authors closest to this one in our weighted citation graph, most related first.
Uwe Hassler Tanja Zahn Christian K. Wolf Marc-Oliver Pohle Mikkel Plagborg-Møller Alessia Scudiero Masahiro Tanaka David W. Hughes Atsushi Inoue Eric Qian Ana María Herrera Guido M. Kuersteiner José Luis Montiel Olea Elena Pesavento Dake Li Teruo Nakatsuma Liugang Sheng Frank Kleibergen Patrik Guggenberger Sophocles Mavroeidis Proximity is measured over citations between two papers we both hold, weighted by how heavily one leans on the other, and is symmetric — it does not distinguish citing from being cited. Authors without a profile here are skipped, and a genuinely close colleague can be missing simply because their work is not in our arXiv corpus. Method: docs/06-citations-pipeline.md .
Papers (3 of 73)
Comment: Dynamic Causal Effects in a Nonlinear World: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
published 2025 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
working paper 2025 · arXiv
with María Dolores Gadea Rivas
A Local Projections Approach to Difference‐in‐Differences
published 2025 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 97 citations · first circulated 2023
with Arindrajit Dubé, Daniele Girardi, Alan M. Taylor
working paper 2025 · arXiv
Decomposing the monetary policy multiplier
published 2025 · Journal of Monetary Economics · 5 citations · first circulated 2023
Local Projections
published 2025 · Journal of Economic Literature · 90 citations
with Alan M. Taylor
published 2025 · Econometrics Journal · 4 citations · first circulated 2023
Introduction to the special issue on climate risks
published 2024 · European Economic Review
with Fernanda Nechio, Evi Pappa
The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy
published 2024 · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 99 citations · first circulated 2020
with Sanjay R. Singh, Alan M. Taylor, Alan Taylor
Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered
published 2023 · IMF Economic Review · 18 citations · first circulated 2020
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Local Projections for Applied Economics
published 2023 · Annual Review of Economics · 125 citations
Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic
published 2023 · European Economic Review · 59 citations · first circulated 2022
with Fernanda Nechio
Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability
published 2023 · The Review of Economic Studies · 38 citations
with Maximilian Grimm, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy
published 2022 · Review of Financial Studies · 76 citations · first circulated 2020
with Martin Kornejew, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics
published 2021 · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 361 citations · first circulated 2020
with Sanjay R. Singh, Alan M. Taylor, Sanjay Singh
Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis
published 2020 · The Review of Economic Studies · 100 citations · first circulated 2017
with Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
The Fog of Numbers
published 2020 · FRB SF weekly letter · 1 citations
with Noah Kouchekinia, Colton Merrill, Tatevik Sekhposyan
no link
La larga resaca económica de la pandemia
published 2020 · Finanzas y desarrollo: publicación trimestral del Fondo Monetario Internacional y del Banco Mundial
with Sanjay R. Singh, Alan M. Taylor
no link
The Economics of Climate Change: A First Fed Conference
published 2019 · FRB SF weekly letter · 2 citations
no link
Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums
published 2019 · IMF Economic Review · 107 citations · first circulated 2018
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Felix Ward, Alan D. Taylor
The effects of quasi-random monetary experiments
published 2019 · Journal of Monetary Economics · 209 citations · first circulated 2017
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Why Is Inflation Low Globally
published 2019 · FRB SF weekly letter · 23 citations
with Chitra Marti, Fernanda Nechio, Eric Tallman
no link
Inflation: Stress-Testing the Phillips Curve
published 2019 · FRB SF weekly letter · 2 citations
with Chitra Marti, Fernanda Nechio, Eric Tallman
no link
The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870-2015
published 2018 · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 116 citations · first circulated 2017
with Katharina Knoll, D. Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Deutsche Bundesbank
Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts
published 2017 · NBER Macroeconomics Annual · 305 citations · first circulated 2016
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Monetary Policy Medicine: Large Effects from Small Doses?
published 2017 · FRB SF weekly letter
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
no link
Semiparametric Estimates of Monetary Policy Effects: String Theory Revisited
published 2016 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 169 citations · first circulated 2013
The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles
published 2016 · Economic Policy · 505 citations · first circulated 2014
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
Bubbles, Credit, and Their Consequences
published 2016 · FRB SF weekly letter · 4 citations
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
no link
The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
published 2015 · The Economic Journal · 550 citations · first circulated 2013
with Alan M. Taylor, Alan Taylor
Leveraged bubbles
published 2015 · Journal of Monetary Economics · 350 citations
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
SOVEREIGNS VERSUS BANKS: CREDIT, CRISES, AND CONSEQUENCES
published 2015 · Journal of the European Economic Association · 176 citations · first circulated 2013
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Alan D. Taylor
Interest rates and house prices: pill or poison?
published 2015 · FRB SF weekly letter · 4 citations
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
no link
Mortgaging the future
published 2015 · FRB SF weekly letter
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
no link
Betting the house
published 2014 · Journal of International Economics · 402 citations
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Moritz HP. Schularick
Labour Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
published 2014 · National Institute Economic Review · 9 citations
with Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, Fernanda Nechio
Assessing the historical role of credit: Business cycles, financial crises and the legacy of Charles S. Peirce
published 2014 · International Journal of Forecasting · 11 citations
Computing systemic risk using multiple behavioral and keystone networks: The emergence of a crisis in primate societies and banks
published 2014 · International Journal of Forecasting · 14 citations
with Fushing Hsieh, Brianne A. Beisner, Brenda McCowan
Interpreting deviations from Okun’s Law
published 2014 · FRB SF weekly letter · 31 citations
with Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, Fernanda Nechio
no link
Private Credit and Public Debt in Financial Crises
published 2014 · FRB SF weekly letter · 12 citations
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
no link
Monetary Policy When the Spyglass Is Smudged
published 2014 · FRB SF weekly letter · 5 citations
with Early Elias, Helen Irvin
no link
When Credit Bites Back
published 2013 · Journal of money credit and banking · 847 citations · first circulated 2011
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Alan D. Taylor
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts
published 2013 · International Journal of Forecasting · 16 citations · first circulated 2010
Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis
published 2013 · FRB SF weekly letter · 5 citations
with Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, Fernanda Nechio
no link
Crises Before and After the Creation of the Fed
published 2013 · FRB SF weekly letter · 2 citations
with Early Elias
no link
A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850–2011
published 2012 · SERIEs · 21 citations · first circulated 2011
with Travis J. Berge
THE HARROD–BALASSA–SAMUELSON HYPOTHESIS: REAL EXCHANGE RATES AND THEIR LONG‐RUN EQUILIBRIUM*
published 2012 · International Economic Review · 67 citations · first circulated 2010
with Yanping Chong, Alan M. Taylor
The carry trade and fundamentals: Nothing to fear but FEER itself
published 2012 · Journal of International Economics · 74 citations · first circulated 2009
with Alan M. Taylor
Will the jobless rate drop take a break
published 2012 · FRB SF weekly letter · 11 citations
with Mary C. Daly, Early Elias, Bart Hobijn
no link
Credit: a starring role in the downturn
published 2012 · FRB SF weekly letter · 1 citations
no link
Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons
published 2011 · IMF Economic Review · 686 citations · first circulated 2010
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor, Alan D. Taylor
ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE BY THE METHOD OF PROJECTION MINIMUM DISTANCE: AN APPLICATION TO THE NEW KEYNESIAN HYBRID PHILLIPS CURVE*
published 2011 · International Economic Review · 35 citations · first circulated 2007
with Sharon Kozicki
Evaluating the Classification of Economic Activity into Recessions and Expansions
published 2011 · American Economic Journal Macroeconomics · 271 citations · first circulated 2009
with Travis J. Berge
Future recession risks: an update
published 2011 · FRB SF weekly letter · 7 citations
with Travis J. Berge, Early Elias
no link
Variable capital rules in a risky world
published 2011 · FRB SF weekly letter · 1 citations
no link
Path forecast evaluation
published 2010 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 65 citations · first circulated 2008
Future recession risks
published 2010 · FRB SF weekly letter · 4 citations
with Travis J. Berge
no link
Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Impulse Responses
published 2009 · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 120 citations
Do monetary aggregates help forecast inflation
published 2007 · FRB SF weekly letter · 15 citations
with Galina Hale
no link
Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections
published 2005 · American Economic Review · 4491 citations
Can monetary policy influence long-term interest rates?
published 2005 · FRB SF weekly letter · 1 citations
no link
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes
published 2004 · Journal of Time Series Analysis · 2 citations · first circulated 2003
Measuring monetary policy interdependence
published 2004 · Journal of International Money and Finance · 21 citations
with Paul R. Bergin
The Response of Term Rates to Fed Announcements
published 2004 · Journal of money credit and banking · 97 citations
with Selva Demiralp
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS
published 2003 · Macroeconomic Dynamics · 6 citations
The response of term rates to monetary policy uncertainty
published 2003 · Review of Economic Dynamics · 43 citations · first circulated 2001
with Kevin D. Salyer
A Model of the Federal Funds Rate Target
published 2002 · Journal of Political Economy · 268 citations · first circulated 1999
with James D. Hamilton
The Announcement Effect: Evidence from Open Market Desk Data. (Session 1: The Reserves Market)
published 2002 · Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic policy review · 51 citations · first circulated 2001
with Selva Demiralp, Holly Liu, Jeffrey C. Williams
Testing nonlinearity: Decision rules for selecting between logistic and exponential STAR models
published 2001 · Spanish Economic Review · 67 citations · first circulated 1994
with Álvaro Escribano
Measuring Systematic Monetary Policy / Commentary
published 2001 · Canadian parliamentary review · 40 citations · first circulated 2000
with Kevin D. Hoover, Valerie Ramey
The Pavlovian Response of Term Rates to Fed Announcements
published 2000 · Finance and Economics Discussion Series · 11 citations
with Selva Demiralp
Random-Time Aggregation in Partial Adjustment Models
published 1999 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 14 citations
with Oscar Jorda
La politica monetaria en los Estados Unidos: el objetivo de los tipos de los Fondos Federales
published 1998 · Situación: revista de coyuntura económica
no link
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