Citation Analysis – On the Wisdom of Crowds \\(of Economists)

On the Wisdom of Crowds \\(of Economists)
Francis X. Diebold, Aaron Mora, Minchul Shin
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09287

Citation mentions

Cited references

Sections

4,409

Words (approx)

References by Citation Intensity

Ordered by composite index (descending). Higher values indicate more intensive citation.

#	Reference	Year	Mentions	Breadth	Sec. Wtd	Share	Composite	Main %
1	Bates and Granger	1969	4	3	5.5	0.093	0.843	75%
2	Engle and Kelly	2012	4	2	7.0	0.093	0.811	100%
3	Elliott and Liao	2025	3	2	4.0	0.070	0.737	100%
4	Clemen	1989	2	2	3.0	0.047	0.644	100%
5	Genre, Kenny, Meyler, and Timmermann	2013	2	2	3.0	0.047	0.644	100%
6	Croushore and Stark	2019	2	2	3.0	0.047	0.644	100%
7	Makridakis and Winkler	1983	2	1	2.0	0.047	0.511	100%
8	Surowiecki	2005	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
9	Aliber, Kindleberger, and McCauley	2023	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
10	Diebold, Shin, and Zhang (self)	2023	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
11	Batchelor and Dua	1995	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
12	Timmermann	2006	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
13	Hsiao and Wan	2014	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
14	Wang, Hyndman, Li, and Kang	2022	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
15	Stock and Watson	2004	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
16	Smith and Wallis	2009	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
17	Claeskens, Magnus, Vasnev, and Wang	2016	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
18	Chan and Pauwels	2018	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
19	Clemen and Winkler	1985	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
20	Clements, Rich, and Tracy	2022	1	1	1.0	0.023	0.406	100%
21	Stock and Watson	2002	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
22	Chauvet and Potter	2013	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
23	Stock and Watson	2007	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
24	Pivetta and Reis	2007	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
25	Arifovic, Bullard, and Kostyshyna	2013	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
26	LeBaron and Smith	2025	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
27	Stock and Watson	2016	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
28	Elliott and Timmermann	2016	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
29	Diebold and Shin (self)	2019	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
30	Smith Jr	1993	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%
31	Gourieroux, Monfort, and Renault	1993	1	1	2.0	0.023	0.406	100%

Reference

Year

Mentions

Breadth

Sec. Wtd

Composite

Main %

Bates and Granger

1969

5.5

0.093

0.843

75%

Engle and Kelly

2012

7.0

0.093

0.811

100%

Elliott and Liao

2025

4.0

0.070

0.737

100%

Clemen

1989

3.0

0.047

0.644

100%

Genre, Kenny, Meyler, and Timmermann

2013

3.0

0.047

0.644

100%

Croushore and Stark

2019

3.0

0.047

0.644

100%

Makridakis and Winkler

1983

2.0

0.047

0.511

100%

Surowiecki

2005

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Aliber, Kindleberger, and McCauley

2023

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Diebold, Shin, and Zhang (self)

2023

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Batchelor and Dua

1995

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Timmermann

2006

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Hsiao and Wan

2014

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Wang, Hyndman, Li, and Kang

2022

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Stock and Watson

2004

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Smith and Wallis

2009

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Claeskens, Magnus, Vasnev, and Wang

2016

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Chan and Pauwels

2018

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Clemen and Winkler

1985

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Clements, Rich, and Tracy

2022

1.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Stock and Watson

2002

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Chauvet and Potter

2013

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Stock and Watson

2007

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Pivetta and Reis

2007

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Arifovic, Bullard, and Kostyshyna

2013

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

LeBaron and Smith

2025

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Stock and Watson

2016

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Elliott and Timmermann

2016

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Diebold and Shin (self)

2019

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Smith Jr

1993

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Gourieroux, Monfort, and Renault

1993

2.0

0.023

0.406

100%

Measures: Mentions = total in-text citations; Breadth = distinct sections; Sec. Wtd = section-weighted count (body ×2, lit review/appendix ×0.5); Share = mentions / total citations in paper; Composite = geometric mean of normalised count, breadth, and main-text ratio; Main % = fraction of mentions in main text (excl. appendix). (self) = self-citation.