Citation Analysis – Inside the black box: Neural network-based real-time prediction of US recessions

Inside the black box: Neural network-based real-time prediction of US recessions
Seulki Chung
https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.17571

Citation mentions

Cited references

Sections

10,560

Words (approx)

References by Citation Intensity

Ordered by composite index (descending). Higher values indicate more intensive citation.

#	Reference	Year	Mentions	Breadth	Sec. Wtd	Share	Composite	Main %
1	Vrontos, S. and Galakis, J. and Vrontos, I.	2021	3	2	4.0	0.045	0.737	100%
2	Estrella, A. and Mishkin, F.	1996	2	2	3.0	0.030	0.644	100%
3	Estrella, A. and Mishkin, F.	1998	2	2	3.0	0.030	0.644	100%
4	Ng, S.	2014	2	2	3.0	0.030	0.644	100%
5	Hornik, K. and Stinchcombe, M. and White, H.	1989	2	2	3.0	0.030	0.644	100%
6	Chauvet, M. and Piger, J.	2008	2	2	4.0	0.030	0.644	100%
7	Puglia, M. and Tucker, A.	2021	3	1	3.0	0.045	0.585	100%
8	Bergstra, J. and Bengio, Y.	2012	2	1	4.0	0.030	0.511	100%
9	Molnar, C.	2020	2	1	4.0	0.030	0.511	100%
10	Lundberg, S. and Lee, S.	2017	2	1	4.0	0.030	0.511	100%
11	Mitchell, W. and Burns, A.	1938	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
12	Wright, J.	2006	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
13	Dueker, M.	1997	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
14	Dueker, M.	2002	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
15	Chauvet, M. and Potter, S.	2005	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
16	Fornari, F. and Lemke, W.	2010	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
17	Nyberg, H.	2014	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
18	Acemoglu, D. and Scott, A.	1997	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
19	Morley, J. and Piger, J.	2012	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
20	Tiao, G. and Tsay, R.	1994	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
21	Maasoumi, E. and Khotanzad, A. and Abaye, A.	1994	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
22	Stock, J. and Watson, M.	1998	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
23	Jaditz, T. and Riddick, L. and Sayers, C.	1998	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
24	Vishwanathan, S. and Murty, M.	2002	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
25	Fornaro, P.	2016	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
26	Holopainen, M. and Sarlin, P.	2017	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
27	Bluwstein, K. and Buckmann, M. and Joseph, A. and ...	2020	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
28	Zhang, G. and Patuwo, B and Hu, M.	1998	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
29	Swanson, N. and White, H.	1997	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
30	Moshiri, S. and Cameron, N.	2000	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
31	Tkacz, G.	2001	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
32	Qi, M.	2001	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
33	Wang, Z. and Li, K. and Xia, S. and Liu, H.	2022	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
34	Delgado, P. and Congregado, E. and Golpe, A. and V...	2022	1	1	1.0	0.015	0.406	100%
35	Stark, T. and Croushore, D.	2002	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
36	Lenail, A.	2019	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
37	Hochreiter, S. and Schmidhuber, J.	1997	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
38	Cho, K. and van Merrienboer, B. and Gulcehre, C. a...	2014	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
39	Zhang, Y. and Wang, Y. and Luo, G.	2020	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
40	Bottou, L.	2010	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
41	Ge, R. and Huang, F. and Jin, C. and Yuan, Y.	2015	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
42	De Veaux, R. and Ungar, L.	1994	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
43	Ying, X.	2019	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
44	Tibshirani, R.	1996	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
45	Hoerl, E. and Kennard, W.	1970	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
46	Srivastava, N. and Hinton, G. and Krizhevsky, A. a...	2014	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
47	Bellman, R.	1961	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
48	Kingma, D. and Ba, J.	2014	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
49	Duchi, J. and Hazan, E. and Singer, Y.	2011	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
50	Tieleman, T. and Hinton, G.	2012	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
51	Berge, T. and Jorda, O.	2011	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
52	Tharwat, A.	2021	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
53	Davis, J. and Goadrich, M.	2006	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
54	Shapley, L.	1953	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%
55	Shrikumar, A. and Greenside, P. and Kundaje, A.	2017	1	1	2.0	0.015	0.406	100%

Reference

Year

Mentions

Breadth

Sec. Wtd

Composite

Main %

Vrontos, S. and Galakis, J. and Vrontos, I.

2021

4.0

0.045

0.737

100%

Estrella, A. and Mishkin, F.

1996

3.0

0.030

0.644

100%

Estrella, A. and Mishkin, F.

1998

3.0

0.030

0.644

100%

Ng, S.

2014

3.0

0.030

0.644

100%

Hornik, K. and Stinchcombe, M. and White, H.

1989

3.0

0.030

0.644

100%

Chauvet, M. and Piger, J.

2008

4.0

0.030

0.644

100%

Puglia, M. and Tucker, A.

2021

3.0

0.045

0.585

100%

Bergstra, J. and Bengio, Y.

2012

4.0

0.030

0.511

100%

Molnar, C.

2020

4.0

0.030

0.511

100%

Lundberg, S. and Lee, S.

2017

4.0

0.030

0.511

100%

Mitchell, W. and Burns, A.

1938

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Wright, J.

2006

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Dueker, M.

1997

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Dueker, M.

2002

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Chauvet, M. and Potter, S.

2005

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Fornari, F. and Lemke, W.

2010

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Nyberg, H.

2014

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Acemoglu, D. and Scott, A.

1997

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Morley, J. and Piger, J.

2012

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Tiao, G. and Tsay, R.

1994

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Maasoumi, E. and Khotanzad, A. and Abaye, A.

1994

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Stock, J. and Watson, M.

1998

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Jaditz, T. and Riddick, L. and Sayers, C.

1998

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Vishwanathan, S. and Murty, M.

2002

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Fornaro, P.

2016

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Holopainen, M. and Sarlin, P.

2017

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Bluwstein, K. and Buckmann, M. and Joseph, A. and ...

2020

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Zhang, G. and Patuwo, B and Hu, M.

1998

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Swanson, N. and White, H.

1997

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Moshiri, S. and Cameron, N.

2000

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Tkacz, G.

2001

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Qi, M.

2001

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Wang, Z. and Li, K. and Xia, S. and Liu, H.

2022

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Delgado, P. and Congregado, E. and Golpe, A. and V...

2022

1.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Stark, T. and Croushore, D.

2002

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Lenail, A.

2019

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Hochreiter, S. and Schmidhuber, J.

1997

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Cho, K. and van Merrienboer, B. and Gulcehre, C. a...

2014

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Zhang, Y. and Wang, Y. and Luo, G.

2020

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Bottou, L.

2010

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Ge, R. and Huang, F. and Jin, C. and Yuan, Y.

2015

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

De Veaux, R. and Ungar, L.

1994

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Ying, X.

2019

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Tibshirani, R.

1996

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Hoerl, E. and Kennard, W.

1970

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Srivastava, N. and Hinton, G. and Krizhevsky, A. a...

2014

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Bellman, R.

1961

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Kingma, D. and Ba, J.

2014

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Duchi, J. and Hazan, E. and Singer, Y.

2011

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Tieleman, T. and Hinton, G.

2012

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Berge, T. and Jorda, O.

2011

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Tharwat, A.

2021

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Davis, J. and Goadrich, M.

2006

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Shapley, L.

1953

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Shrikumar, A. and Greenside, P. and Kundaje, A.

2017

2.0

0.015

0.406

100%

Measures: Mentions = total in-text citations; Breadth = distinct sections; Sec. Wtd = section-weighted count (body ×2, lit review/appendix ×0.5); Share = mentions / total citations in paper; Composite = geometric mean of normalised count, breadth, and main-text ratio; Main % = fraction of mentions in main text (excl. appendix). (self) = self-citation.